Result: -7 units, bet lost
Group H has already solved all their qualification problems, but as first place meets second it will all be about pride. FC Porto host Shakhtar Donetsk in an attempt to finish the group unbeaten and trying to get something better out of the match than the 2-2 from the first leg.
Porto have no missing players, which is why Tello, Torres and Jackson Martinez are expected to start from the beginning. The hosts have an important game during the weekend, but Lopetegui promised to field the best available eleven. In Portugal, Porto are battling it out with Benfica for the first place, but currently are trailing four points behind their rivals. The hosts have won six out of their 7 Champions League games, while managing to score at least two goals in the process.
Shakhtar has three important absentees, the three players who always helped them deciding the matches. Their goalscorer Luiz Adriano, Srna and Kucher are all suspended while Azevedo is under doubt. The visitors are looking great in their domestic league where they are five points behind Dynamo Kyiv. After the defeat against Bilbao they won two matches in a row, scored eight goals and conceded only one.
Chances are there will be a lot of goals in this match even if Luiz Adriano is not playing. William Hill favors the hosts to win and gives Porto 1.85 odds for a win, 4.50 for Shakhtar and 3.40 for a draw. Jackson Martinez to score has 2.10 odds, Brahimi 2.40, and Texeira has 3.40 odds in the same market. Shakhtar with a +1 handicap has 1.91 odds, Porto with a -1 one 3.10 odds and over 2.5 goals with 2.00 odds. We are going to bet 5 units on both teams to score and Porto to win with 4.00 odds.
Hamburger SV return to Bundesliga against Mainz 05 to do what they do best: fight to avoid relegation. There’s only a four point gap between the two, but while Hamburg are on the 17th place, Mainz sit comfortably on the 10th. Hamburg have 12 points after 13 matchdays, and can boast with wins against last placed Borussia Dortmund and third placed Bayer Leverkusen, yet they always have had problems with Mainz.
Mainz come from a 4-1 loss against Schalke, and even if they dominated the match on almost all accounts, their weak defensive line propelled the disaster by allowing the hosts too much space at the back. They have been missing Jonas Hoffmann, their specialist in pressing matters, but they did welcome back Joo-Ho Park, after the player got a knock to his ankle against Schalke. Bungert is still under doubt due to back pains, and Baumgartlinger and Moritz might return to training only during next week.
Hamburg have Westermann ruled out of the match after a mediate ligament injury against Augsburg, and joined Jansesn and Beister on the sidelines. The hosts hope they can get Lassoga back in time, so they can hope for early goals, the striker having 2.85 odds with 888sport to score anytime. Rajkovic could start in defense, but he has had little playing time since March, and it does not bode well for a Hamburg side that last won against Mainz when playing at home back in 2012.
Hamburg have now two wins in a row when playing at home, while Mainz struggle in away games, even if they are always close to winning due to being better than their opponents. Expect a hard fought match on both accounts and with Okazaki among Bundesliga’s top goalscorers, maybe an early Mainz goal is not as far-fetched?
The hosts have 2.00 odds to win being the obvious favorites, but our team will support the underdog in this occasion with 7 odds on a Mainz 05 win with 3.70 odds from 888sport. Both teams to score have 1.80 odds, under 9.5 corners 2.05 odds and a red card has 4.15 odds from 888sport.
AS Monaco clash with Toulouse in Friday’s Ligue 1 fixture to determine which of the two teams can bounce back from the terrible mess they are in. The once contenders for the league title, Monaco are now on the 10th place in Ligue 1, have only one win and two draws in five matches in all competitions and are seven points short of the Europa League place. Toulouse are doing even worse they had one win and four defeats in their last five matches before winning on Tuesday against Nantes.
The two teams are separated by only three points in the table. In their win against Lens both goals were scored in the second half, and Monaco had to play for the majority of time with 10 men after Wallace got a red card on the 35th minute. Berbatov and Carrasco would be your main choices for the goalscorer market, while for Toulouse Ben Yedder and Pesic should cover that betting market.
Trejo, Matheus and Roman are all missing due to injury for Toulouse, while the visitors are still without Borja Lopez, Kondogbia and Kurzawa. Last time the two teams met Monaco won with 2-0 and if Ocampo replaces Wallace in the squad another result like this might be on the cards again. The bookmakers cannot seem to be able to pinpoint a clear winner even if Toulouse managed to win against Monaco in only two matches out of the last ten.
Both teams are not in one of their best form, but we hope Monaco can pull themselves together in time to end up winning and Bet365 gives them 2.60 odds for an outright win, on which we’re going to bet 8 units. Toulouse to win has 2.80 odds and another draw has 3.10 odds. Over 2.5 goals has 2.25 odds, and both teams have the same odds, 1.83, to win either half.
Friday witnesses derby time in Serie A as Fiorentina host Juventus Torino for the 14th matchday. The visitors are the current leaders, and while the match itself has always been a source of high interest, with Fiorentina now on the 8th place winning it has become a matter of pride.
Viola might not look as sharp in Serie A as in Europa League where they sit comfortably on the first place in group K after 5 days, but winning three matches in a row in all competitions has boosted morals to the point where they feel they can be the ones to stop Juventus’ unbeaten run. Babacar and Cuadrado are their main goalscorers but Fiorentina supporters will take comfort in the fact that Mario Gomez has finally scored his first goal in this Serie A edition. Giuseppe Rossi, Bernardeschi and Pasqual will miss the game due to injury and Vincenzo Montella might send in a three man defensive line to be able to surprise La Vecchia Signora on counter attacks.
Juve have a six match unbeaten run in all competitions, during which they have conceded only three goals while managing to score 19, with an average of at least two goals per game. Even if they have a plethora of starts capable to decide a match, in recent cases it has been Pirlo to save Juve from losing the first place. The distance between them and AS Roma is only three points. Carlos Tevez is Serie A’s goalscorer with 9 successes and has 2.55 odds to score anytime. Lichsteiner will miss the match due to suspension, while Asamoah and Romulo due to injury.
The recent head to head matches have a low scoring affair and Juve won two out of four, one match ended in a draw and Fiorentina won back in 2013 with 4-2. La Vecchia Signora has the best attack and defense in this Serie A edition, which is why we’re going to bet 7 units on Juventus to win with 2.10 odds from Unibet. A Fiorentina win has 3.55 odds, and a draw 3.30. Both teams to score has 1.88 odds over 2.5 goals 2.08 odds. Mario Gomez has 3.60 odds to score, Babacar 4.35 and Llorente 2.75.
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