Result: -7 units, bet lost
Finland go into their second round of group F matches as leaders of the table as they get ready to host Greece, the unexpected team placed on the 5th place. Greece were deemed as favorites in the first home match, which they ended up losing against Romania, while Finland displayed great determination when they came from behind a goal to win against Faroe Island.
Finland scored the three goals they won against Faroe Island in the second half when Riku Risky scored a brace and Eremenko made it 1-3 for the visitors. The team is pushing for a qualification now that the competition format has been expanded, and they have an advantage over Greece in the fact that the visitors have been unable to win against them in recent history. Finland’s coach injected some youth into the team as he allowed talents like Pukki, Riski and Pohjanpalo to shine while blending them into a team that promised much but did not deliver.
Greece showed a decent performance in Brazil, but lost their first match to Romania, yet the players are still confident in their qualification chances, with Manolas stating, “We didn’t create chances and nothing really worked for us. Our qualification is not in danger, though.” Claudio Ranieri took over the team, and the players are still to adjust to new formats. The injuries are not helping the visitors either as Sokratis, Christodoulopoulos, Kone and Holebas are tipped to miss the match against the group leaders. Against Greece is also the fact that while at home they played in sunny conditions, in Helsinki they will face possible rain, and at the very best +10 degrees Celsius.
Greece are still a team able to produce a surprise for which Ladbrokes credits them with 2.37 odds. Finland gets 3.00 odds for an outright win. Both teams to score have 2.15 odds, over 2.5 goals has 2.55 odds and a goal line of +2.0 has 1.93 odds. The second half to have the majority of goals has 2.15 odds, while the first one has 3.20 odds. Mitroglu as an anytime goalscorer has 3.25 odds, Samaras 3.80 and Karelis 4.00. For Finland, Pukki and Pohjanpalo both have 3.80 odds to score anytime, while Riski has 4.50 and we’re betting 7 units on Eremenko to score anytime at 5.00 with Ladbrokes.
Romania tries to qualify for another major tournament and the match against Hungary is their chance to either win a second match in a row or lose another one. The hosts are the favorites with the bookmakers to win outright mainly due to the fact that in the qualification for the tournament in Brazil Romania won with 3-0. Hungary will want to avenge said defeat; but Romania is more motivated when playing at home.
Romania was off to a good start in this campaign, and the win against Greece gave them confidence, which they have to capitalize on Saturday. Fiorentina’s goalkeeper Tatarusanu is sure his team can win in front of their own supporters. Gabi Tamas will be missing in defense as he’s undergoing recovery sessions after a surgery, bur the hosts can compensate that with a brilliant offensive line, where Keseru, Rusescu could score to preserve the chances for the first place in the group.
Hungary started the group stage by losing against Northern Ireland, a team that managed to come from behind one goal and win. This set a negative record for the visiting team; they conceded five goals in the last two matches. Even if they are set to play against Faroe Islands next week, it will be this match against Romania that will decide the place Hungary will be going for. Their main goalscorers are Priskin and Varga with two goals, and in friendlies so far, they only managed to win against lesser opponents while Romania recorded a 0-0 draw against Argentina.
William Hill gives Hungary 5.00 odds for an upset, but Romania got 1.75 odds for an outright win. When the two teams met in Hungary the match ended in a 2-2 draw, which makes the bet on both teams to score and Romania to win at 4.33 odds a valuable one. Romania for both halves has 2.87 odds, Hungary 8.00, and the hosts with a -1 Handicap have 3.20 odds. Keseru and Marica both have 2.50 odds to score anytime, while Priskin was given 3.75 odds in the same market. We are betting 7 units on over 2.5 goals per match at 2.25 odds with William Hill.
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