Result: -8 units, bet lost
With UEFA changing the qualification rules for the Euro 2016 tournament and having two teams from a group qualify directly for the group stage, Iceland hopes of making it at least to the play-offs. They host Turkey on Tuesday to determine which of the two teams get to walk away with not only three points, but also a qualification boost.
Iceland will rely on the experience of their two legends, while some of their stars like Sigthorsson and Sigurdsson will once again command the midfield. The team has improved a lot over the recent years, while Turkey failed to qualify for a tournament since 2010, which also includes three failed World Cups. Iceland missed on their Brazil ticket in the play-offs by falling to Croatia. In their last seven head to head matches, Iceland only managed to lose once against Turkey, while winning four matches and recording a draw.
Turkey won last week against Denmark, and Fatih Terim plans on using the victory to help his players out. “The Denmark game has given us a major morale boost heading to Iceland,” said Terim. “Denmark are a strong team. We played very well in the second half. We played a chess match.” The visitors will have to play without Nuri Sahin, recovering after a knee injury, but will take pride in having Arda Turan and Burak Ilmaz in great form.
Bet365 gives Turkey 2.05 odds for an outright win, Iceland 4.20 and a draw is at 3.40. Turkey with a -0.5 Handicap is at 2.05, Iceland with a +0.5 at 1.87 and Turkey to win by a one goal margin is at 3.60. Iceland to win to nil is at 6.50, Turkey at 3.10, and we’re betting 8 units on over 2.5 goals per match at 2.20 with Bet365.
This Sunday the qualifications for EURO 2016 begin and one of the most interesting matches promises to be Greece vs Romania. While Greece have scored more goals than Romania in their head to head matches, what the results show is that the wins are evenly divided between the two. Considering the fact that Greece have the World Cup experience behind the back it’s no wonder why William Hill backs them to win at 2.00.
The hosts have a few adjustments to settle in, as Fernando Santos has resigned from the manager position, after earning a good reputation with the supporters and increasing Greece’s winning percentage. Claudio Ranieri took over the Euro 2004 champions and his main mission is to qualify his team to the tournament from the first place. The following European tournaments saw Greece stopping in the quarterfinals, and in Brazil they bowed down in the last 16. Their main card is their defense, but they have become rather dangerous on counter attacks.
Romania come into the match against Greece with a personal vendetta after the defeat from the World Cup qualifying campaign with a team that needs to be rebuilt should they reach anywhere near the EURO 2000 result they had. Victor Piturca has some injury worries, as during Tuesday’s training Dorin Goian took a knock and might miss the match against Greece. To soften the blow he has called Bogdan Mitrea in case Goian tests show something more serious. The visitors have missed the European tournament that Spain won in 2012 and their presence on the European stage has been rather scarce, as they follow their tendency to start well the qualification, but then fizzle right before the finish line.
William Hill gives Romania 3.60 odds to win, and a draw is at 2.90, for this specific market as well as for the correct score one the bookmaker offers the cash in option which will allow you to settle your bet before the final whistle. Both teams to score is at 2.15, Greece for the second half is at 2.45, Romania at 4.20. Greece to keep a clean sheet at 2.20, but we’re betting 7 units on Both teams to score and Greece to win at 5.00 with William Hill.
Gibraltar as the newest UEFA member got one of the toughest groups they could have as they will have to measure forces with teams way above their ranking. Their first match is against Poland, a side with as many stars and possibilities to score as Gibraltar might not yet have found. They have sill time to prove themselves and get a FIFA license, and what better way to start than against a team tipped to follow Germany out of the qualification groups.
The hosts have played four friendlies so far, and even managed to get a draw against Estonia and a win against Malta. Their main striker, Adam Priestley, non-league player relishes on the chance to try and score against teams he never dreamt of playing. Priestley stated he cannot wait to play against Toni Kroos and Robert Lewandowski while still waiting to score his first goal in four caps for his country.
Poland are the favorites for the second place in group D, and they are aware that anything but a victory will end up with an embarrassment not even a qualification will erase. There is also value in betting on Robert Lewandowski to score first at 1.36 with Ladbrokes, or two goals, while leaning towards Poland to win by more than three goals.
Ladbrokes has an outright Poland win at 1.07, and Gibraltar at 29.00, and both teams to score is at 2.70. Both teams to score and Poland to win is at 3.00, Poland with a -3.0 Handicap is at 2.50, a goal band for the visitors of more than four goals is at 2.10 and Poland for both halves is at 1.35. We’re hoping many goals will be scored so we’re betting 7 units on over 4.5 goals at 2.75 with Ladbrokes.
Uruguay make the trip to Japan in their first post-Suarez drama, for a friendly match of two teams badly wounded after the Brazil tournament. There is no clear favorite for this particular match seeing as both teams are still nursing World Cup woes which might affect their performance. Japan have a new coach as Javier Agguire has the task of rebuilding a team in time for the competition in Russia.
He started off by cutting off 12 players from the squad that embarrassed themselves in Brazil by getting only one point from three matches. He also called five new players and Ryota Morioka is expected to make up his national team debut. Among the absentees is Borussia Dortmund’s midfielder Kagawa who is reported to be down with a concussion in his last match for Manchester United. The hosts are in search of the first win against Uruguay, as the previous three matches sport two wins for Uruguay and a draw.
Uruguay will be without their coach, as Oscar Tabarez has undergone a back surgery that will keep him off the training ground for a while. Since Suarez is banned from nine international matches youngsters like Diego Rolan might finally get capped for the first team. Another peculiarity from Uruguay for this match is that Diego Forlan, Perez and Lugano all over their thirties, but with a lot of experience were left out of the squad.
Only a year ago, 6 goals were scored between these two teams which puts the over under betting market under spotlight. An outright Japan win is at 2.75, a draw at 3.10, and an outright Uruguay win at 2.50. A goal band of more than four goals is at 3.50, Japan to score first is at 2.05, Uruguay at 1.90 and we’re betting 8 units on over 2.5 goals at 2.05 with Ladbrokes.
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