Bundesliga looks like the place to value-bet this weekend, as we’re leaning towards William Hill to provide us with the best odds for a highly interesting match between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05. Leverkusen is second in Bundesliga, but has four consecutive defeats, and managed to preserve the said second place, because the other teams slumped too.
Mainz 05 is on the 9th place in the table and has a negative goal difference, but unlike Leverkusen they have two wins, a defeat and a draw in the last four matches. The draw was against Schalke, who recorded their first draw at home since 2008, yet Mainz looked like the most dangerous team on the pitch. This time around the visitors might want to take advantage of the form of Leverkusen, as the team is in no force a win or settle for another draw.
Leverkusen looks set to go from bad to worse, after missing on the DFP Pokal, being trashed by PSG in Champions League, losing to Wolfsburg in Bundesliga and allowing Borussia Dortmund to be just one point behind them. It’s not clear yet whether it would be wise to back Leverkusen in the goalscorer market with Kiessling and Sidney Sam as the frontrunners, yet the main trend right now is to back Leverkusen up for a win.
William Hill offers 2.62 for Leverkusen winning both halves; a draw is at 3.80, Mainz to win to nil is offered at 7.50. We are going to bet 6 units on both teams to score and Leverkusen to win at 3.40, and take advantage of the money back offer in case the match finishes in a goalless draw.